Results     20-Jul-24
Analysis
JSW Steel
Consolidated capex spend during Q1FY25 was Rs 4466 crore
Consolidated net sales (including other operating income) of JSW Steel has increased 1.73% to Rs 42943 crore.  Operating profit margin has declined from 16.69% to 12.83%, leading to 21.80% decline in operating profit to Rs 5,510.00 crore.  Raw material cost as a % of total sales (net of stock adjustments) decreased from 52.43% to 51.17%.   Purchase of finished goods cost fell from 0.64% to 0.17%.   Employee cost increased from 2.61% to 2.98%.   Other expenses rose from 28.45% to 32.55%.   Power and Oil fuel cost rose from 8.51% to 9.31%.   Other direct service cost rose from 6.58% to 7.86%. 

Consolidated crude steel production for the quarter stood at 6.35 million tonne, lower by 1% YoY and 6% QoQ. Capacity utilization at the Indian operations was 87% during the quarter due to planned maintenance shutdowns at Dolvi and BPSL.

Steel Sales for the quarter stood at 6.12 million tonne, higher by 7% YoY and lower by 9%QoQ. Domestic sales at 5.31 million tonne were higher by 14% YoY and by 3% QoQ. Sales volumes of OEM & Industrial segment increased by 18% and Retail segment grew 8% YoY. Exports fell 29% YoY and constituted 10% of sales from the Indian operations for Q1 FY25 vs. 15% of sales in Q1 FY24.

Other income fell 50.45% to Rs 164 crore.  PBIDT fell 23.09% to Rs 5674 crore.  Provision for interest rose 5.60% to Rs 2073 crore. 

PBDT fell 33.49% to Rs 3601 crore.  Provision for depreciation rose 16.26% to Rs 2209 crore. 

Profit before tax down 60.39% to Rs 1,392.00 crore.  Share of profit/loss was 64.71% higher at Rs -12 crore.  Provision for tax was expense of Rs 513 crore, compared to Rs 1052 crore.  Effective tax rate was 37.17% compared to 30.23%.

Minority interest decreased 75.56% to Rs 22.00 crore.  Net profit attributable to owners of the company decreased 63.86% to Rs 845.00 crore. 

Promoters’ stake was 44.81% as of 30 June 2024 ,compared to 45.40% as of 30 June 2023 .  Promoters pledged stake was 15.16% as of 30 June 2024 ,compared to 15.03% as of 30 June 2023. 

Full year results analysis

Net sales (including other operating income) of JSW Steel has increased 5.45% to Rs 175006 crore.  Operating profit margin has jumped from 11.18% to 16.13%, leading to 52.24% rise in operating profit to Rs 28,236.00 crore.  Raw material cost as a % of total sales (net of stock adjustments) decreased from 56.03% to 52.55%.   Purchase of finished goods cost fell from 0.90% to 0.65%.   Employee cost increased from 2.32% to 2.58%.   Other expenses fell from 29.75% to 28.36%.   Power and Oil fuel cost fell from 10.35% to 8.49%.   Other direct service cost rose from 4.42% to 5.62%.  

Other income fell 2.52% to Rs 1004 crore.  PBIDT rose 49.36% to Rs 29240 crore.  Provision for interest rose 17.43% to Rs 8105 crore.  Loan funds rose to Rs 87,984.00 crore as of 31 March 2024 from Rs 80,853.00 crore as of 31 March 2023.  Inventories rose to Rs 37,815.00 crore as of 31 March 2024 from Rs 33,135.00 crore as of 31 March 2023.  Sundry debtors were higher at Rs 7,548.00 crore as of 31 March 2024 compared to Rs 7,134.00 crore as of 31 March 2023.  Cash and bank balance declined from Rs 20,714.00 crore as of 31 March 2023 to Rs 12,348.00 crore as of 31 March 2024.  Investments rose to Rs 7,246.00 crore as of 31 March 2024 from Rs 4,806.00 crore as of 31 March 2023 . 

PBDT rose 66.75% to Rs 21135 crore.  Provision for depreciation rose 9.34% to Rs 8172 crore.  Fixed assets increased to Rs 1,38,956.00 crore as of 31 March 2024 from Rs 1,26,490.00 crore as of 31 March 2023.  Intangible assets increased from Rs 128.00 crore to Rs 3,181.00 crore. 

Profit before tax grew 149.24% to Rs 12,963.00 crore.  Share of profit/loss was 25.55% lower at Rs -172 crore.  Extraordinary items were decreased to Rs 589.00 crore.  Provision for tax was expense of Rs 4407 crore, compared to Rs 1516 crore.  Effective tax rate was 32.94% compared to 26.81%.

Net profit attributable to owners of the company increased 112.64% to Rs 8,812.00 crore. 

Equity capital increased from Rs 301.00 crore as of 31 March 2023 to Rs 305.00 crore as of 31 March 2024.  Per share face Value remained same at Rs 1.00. 

Promoters’ stake was 44.81% as of 31 March 2024 compared to 45.40% as of 31 March 2023.  Promoters pledged stake was 15.24% as of 31 March 2024 compared to 16.35% as of 31 March 2023 . 

Cash flow from operating activities decreased to Rs 12,078.00 crore for year ended March 2024 from Rs 23,323.00 crore for year ended March 2023.  Cash flow used in acquiring fixed assets during the year ended March 2024 stood at Rs 15,801.00 crore, compared to Rs 14,784.00 crore during the year ended March 2023. 

Subsidiaries performance:

Bhushan Power & Steel (BPSL): During the quarter, BPSL registered Crude Steel Production of 0.78 million tonnes and Sales volume of 0.75 million tonnes. Revenue from Operations and Operating EBITDA for the quarter stood at Rs 5,564 crores and 1670 crores, respectively. The EBITDA increased by 25% QoQ. BPSL reported a Profit after Tax of Rs 300 crores for the quarter.

JSW Steel Coated Products (Consolidated): During the quarter, JSW Steel Coated Products, including its subsidiary, registered a production volume (GI/GL, Tin, CRCA & other saleable products) of 1.15 million tonnes and sales volume of 1.14 million tonnes. Revenue from Operations for the quarter stood at Rs 9,161 crores, and EBITDA was Rs 369 crores. The EBITDA is lower by 26% on QoQ basis mainly due to lower realisations and higher input cost of zinc and aluminum, partially off-set by lower HRC prices. The subsidiary reported a net profit of Rs 58 crores for the quarter.

JSW Steel USA Ohio: The EAF-based steel manufacturing facility in Ohio, USA, produced 2,53,169 net tonnes of Slabs during the quarter. Capacity utilization was 70% during the quarter. Sales volumes for the quarter stood at 47,398 net tonnes of HRC and 1,90,534 net tonnes of Slabs. It reported an EBITDA loss of US$ 15.61 million for the quarter.

US Plate & Pipe Mill: The Plate & Pipe Mill based in Texas, USA produced 1,06,029 net tonnes of Plates and 8,198 net tonnes of Pipes, reporting a capacity utilization of 45% and 6%, respectively, during the quarter. Sales volumes for the quarter stood at 99,650 net tonnes of Plates and 9,701 net tonnes of Pipes. It reported an EBITDA of US$ 12.99 million.

Italy Operations: The Italy based Rolled long products manufacturing facility produced 77,057 tonnes and sold 70,006 tonnes of rolled products during the quarter. It reported an EBITDA of Euro 7.67 million for the quarter.

Transfer of Slurry Pipeline Project in Odisha to JSW Infrastructure Ltd

The company has approved the transfer of slurry pipeline undertaking pertaining to the under-construction 30 MTPA slurry pipeline in Odisha being set up by JSW Utkal Steel Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company, by way of a slump sale to JSW Infrastructure Limited, and to enter into a long-term take or pay" agreement for transportation of iron ore slurry for a period of 20 years with JSW Infrastructure Limited. The total planned capex of this undertaking was estimated at Rs 3400 crores, which will now be incurred by JSW Infrastructure Limited.

The slurry pipeline project would be transferred on an arm`s length basis for a consideration of estimated at Rs 1,700 crores, which would be the aggregate of the fair value of the cost incurred till 31 May 2024, as determined by an independent valuer, and the cost incurred post 31 May 2024 till the actual date of transfer. The transaction is subject to receipt of shareholders` approval, other regulatory approvals, if any. This transaction allows efficient and prudent capital allocation at JSW Steel, preserving capital for future growth, and allowing management to focus on the core steel business.

Update on Projects:

The Hot Strip Mill of the 5 MTPA project at Vijayanagar, set up by wholly owned subsidiary, JSW Vijayanagar Metallics Ltd. (JVML), was commissioned in March 2024. Commercial production and sales from the HSM facility have commenced in March 2024. The Sinter Plant and the Blast Furnace is expected to be commissioned by the end of July, and the Steel Melt Shop expected to be commissioned by end of August 2024. We expect ramp-up of the expansion project by the end of Q3 FY25.

At BPSL, the Phase-II expansion from 3.5 MTPA to 5 MTPA, has seen most major equipment and facilities commissioned. The oxygen plant is scheduled for commissioning in July, with a gradual ramp-up of operations to 4.5 MTPA expected by Q3 FY25. The balance 0.5 MTPA capacity will be achieved through debottlenecking by FY27.

At JSW Steel Coated Products Limited, the colour coated line of 0.12 MTPA in Jammu & Kashmir is expected to start commissioning activities in Q2 FY25.

The 30 MTPA slurry pipeline in Odisha is also progressing well, with commissioning expected in FY27.

The Company`s consolidated capex spend during Q1 FY25 was Rs 4,466 crores. We expect consolidated capex for FY25 to be Rs 20,000 crore.

Outlook by the company

The global economic outlook for 2024 remains broadly stable compared to 2023. Global manufacturing PMI continue to improve which along with continued disinflation increases the likelihood of a soft landing. The IMF forecasts global GDP growth of 3.2% for 2024. Growth for 2025 is expected to hold steady at 3.3%, marginal upgrade from its April forecast of 3.2%. Inflationary pressures are easing across major economies, prompting central banks to initiate monetary easing measures. Geopolitical risks necessitate monitoring, particularly their potential impact on supply chains, energy costs and inflation.

In the US, GDP growth remains robust, driven by a positive trend in consumption and fixed investments. Despite resilient labour markets, inflation continues to cool off due to softening wage growth and rents. The recent moderation in inflation signals potential rate cuts later in 2024.

In China, while the property sector continues to remain weak, manufacturing, exports and fixed asset investment (ex-real estate) have continued to grow. Government has announced targeted measures towards improving the property sector. GDP growth eased in Q2, partly due to a higher base effect from last year`s post-Covid reopening. Exports are anticipated to stay steady in the near term amidst soft domestic demand. Further expansion of government support is expected to nudge the growth towards the target of 5%.

In the EU, the ECB has initiated the rate cut cycle in response to easing inflation. Services PMI has shown expansion since February, while the manufacturing sector is slowly improving.

In Japan, wage hikes and tax cuts are expected to support consumption growth. Manufacturing activity is also showing signs of stabilisation aided by weaker currency. Overall, economic growth is expected to improve following the contraction in GDP during Q1 2024.

India`s strong economic growth momentum is expected to persist, driven by manufacturing, infrastructure development, and optimistic consumer sentiment. Despite challenges such as extreme heat waves and slower public capital expenditure before general elections, the RBI forecasts a 7.2% GDP growth for FY25. Government capex is expected to recover in the coming quarters, supported by robust tax revenues and higher RBI dividend, providing fiscal flexibility. Rising capacity utilization and healthy corporate and financial sector balance sheets are poised to boost private investment, particularly in manufacturing, energy transition, and real estate. A favourable monsoon will support the ongoing recovery in rural demand. The overall macroeconomic outlook remains robust and is expected to be further strengthened by foreign capital inflows following inclusion in global bond indices.

The scrip is currently trading at Rs 889

 

JSW Steel : Consolidated Results

Particulars

2406 (03)

2306 (03)

Var.(%)

2403 (12)

2303 (12)

Var.(%)

Net Sales

42,943

42,213

2

1,75,006

1,65,960

5

OPM (%)

12.8

16.7

 

16.1

11.2

 

OP

5,510

7,046

-22

28,236

18,547

52

Other Inc.

164

331

-50

1,004

1,030

-3

PBIDT

5,674

7,377

-23

29,240

19,577

49

Interest

2,073

1,963

6

8,105

6,902

17

PBDT

3,601

5,414

-33

21,135

12,675

67

Depreciation

2,209

1,900

16

8,172

7,474

9

PBT

1,392

3,514

-60

12,963

5,201

149

Share of Profit/(Loss) from Associates

-12

-34

65

-172

-137

-26

PBT before EO

1,380

3,480

-60

12,791

5,064

153

EO Income

0

0

-

589

591

0

PBT after EO

1,380

3,480

-60

13,380

5,655

137

Taxation

513

1,052

-51

4,407

1,516

191

PAT

867

2,428

-64

8,973

4,139

117

Minority Interest (MI)

22

90

-76

161

-5

PL

Net profit

845

2338

-64

8812

4144

113

EPS (Rs)*

#

#

 

34.4

15.2

 

Notes

* EPS is on current equity of Rs 244.55 crore, Face value of Rs 1, Excluding extraordinary items.

# EPS is not annualised

bps : Basis points

EO : Extraordinary items

Figures in Rs crore

Source: Capitaline Corporate Database

 


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