Analyst Meet / AGM     17-Feb-26
Conference Call
Goodluck India
Revenue growth guidance of 15-20% is maintained for FY26

Goodluck India hosted a conference call on Feb 16, 2026. In the conference call the company was represented by  Mahesh Chandra Garg, Chairman; Ram Agarwal, CEO and Sanjay Bansal, CFO.

Key takeaways of the call

Volume sales for Q3FY26 & 9mFY26 was up 8.2% (to 120196 MT) and 11% (to 345874 MT) respectively.

Achieved a major milestone in the Defence vertical, production successfully commenced at GDAL (subsidiary) with first order completed and ready for dispatch, awaiting necessary permissions.   

 Strong order visibility in Defence for FY27, reflecting growing opportunities in indigenous manufacturing and a strengthened presence in high-value strategic sectors. See strong structured demand for this segment.  Expect meaningful contribution to margin going forward. Have order for 8 months in hand and 2 years of LOI for aerospace and defence segment.   Critical forging parts for aerospace.

Precision Pipes & Automobile Tubes – Continuing focus on enhancing product mix, expanding OEM relationships, and driving value-added offerings. Recent US tariff easing brings renewed optimism in global markets, expected to boost volumes and profitability in coming quarters. Auto tubes – Anticipate strong order flow with easing of US tariff.

Engineering Structures – Successfully completed one bullet train project on schedule, well-positioned for upcoming high-speed rail and large-scale infrastructure projects. Segment benefits from strong nationwide infrastructure momentum, 7 new bullet train corridors announced in recent Union Budget expected to significantly boost participation.

For solar renewable the company supplies solar structures and transmission tubes. With strong renewable capacity addition during current fiscal the company has done strong sales numbers this fiscal from this sunrise sector.   Expect to cross Rs 600- 700 crore of business next year from this sunrise sector.

Total capacity currently stands at 5,00,000 MTPA (of which  high-margin value added products  capacity was 285,000 MTPA comprising 170000 MTPA for precision pipes & automobiles, 30000 MTPA for forgings and 85000 mtpa for engineering structures & fabrication; high-volume products (CR Sheets & pipes) capacity was 215,000 MTPA). The defence (Artillery Shells at subsidiary GDAL) capacity was 1,50,000 shells.   By next quarter 90% capacity will be utilized.  The company is expanding the GDAL capacity from 150000 to 400000 at an outlay of Rs 400 crore partly funded by debt (40%) and equity (60%).  Revenue from incremental defence capacity will start from April 2027.

 

Of the 9mFY26 sales 74% is from domestic market and 26% from exports.  In terms of products the revenue mix was value added products 63%[23% engineering structures & fabrication, 25% precision pipes & auto tubes, 15% forgings] and high volume products (CR Sheet & Pipes) 37%.

Trying to rampup the large dia pipes volume and add hydraulic tubes to the product basket.

Better product mix with higher contribution of value added products, efficiency and high volume has led to margin expansion.

Completed 90% of bullet train order and balance will be completed by March 2026.

Capacity utilization in Q3FY26 stood at 92%. 

Scaling defence business, increasing share of value added products in the total revenue mix and maintaining strict cost discipline are to drive profitability going forward for the company. 

Hydraulic tubes the capacity utilization is 42% and that will go up to over 60% with US tariff going off.

For FY26 the revenue growth guidance of 15-20% is maintained.  

EBITDA per tone in Q3FY26 was about Rs 8200.

Expected revenue of GDAL at current capacity of 150000 shells is about Rs 300 crore and with augmented capacity, the revenue will go up to Rs 800 crore for artillery and Rs 200 crore for aerospace.  The EBITDA margin 30-35% of EBITDA  margin is expected for GDAL.

Production is already on and awaiting final permission for dispatch and that comes from GOI the revenue will start flow in.   GDAL is expected to contribute Rs 60 crore of revenue in Q4FY26. From Q1FY27 the revenue will be on fully basis.


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